March Madness 2023: Sweet 16 Parlay Picks

BetQL’s Best March Madness parlay picks for the 2023 NCAA Tournament

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March Madness Parlay Picks for NCAA Tournament

Coming up with a great parlay can be a difficult challenge even before you factor in the volatility of the NCAA tournament. Making a March Madness parlay will certainly be hard, as there are tons of upsets and buzzer-beaters that will put your parlay to an early grave before you can even blink.

The good news is that BetQL is here to give you the best March Madness picks at the current number to come up with a very valuable parlay that is more likely to hit than maybe the sportsbooks are giving you odds-wise.

Every day, we come up with the MVParlay, which is a parlay we make with BetQL's best value picks. This often will give us an excellent parlay, and we have cashed on these quite often. You can also find these yourself as a BetQL subscriber, as we have a star-ranking for every bet on a scale of one to five, which highlights the best bets on every game.

March Madness: Sweet 16 Parlay Picks

The NCAA tournament will feature a lot of upsets as always, and finding which teams won't choke can be difficult. Not only will BetQL make sure that doesn't happen to you, but we also will give you best bets on the totals and player props for every game. No matter what type of bet you may want to make a parlay with, you can count on us to give you the most likely winners that will give you that edge you need to beat the sportsbooks and cash out large.

The BetQL model has the ability to simulate every March Madness bet for every game 10,000 times, and give you the most likely outcome for every bet. No human can do that, and it would take forever to handicap every side/total/prop of every game. That will give you the edge, as the model will have a best bet almost instantly for each game as the lines appear and change, and adapt to those changes to give you the best bet at each number, as well as rating the bet on the star scale.

: UConn ML, UCLA ML & Tennessee-FAU u131.5 (+431, Caesars). Not only does the BetQL model love each of these picks, there are some solid trends to back up each. First, UConn (23-11 ATS, 67.7% cover rate) and UCLA (21-13 ATS, 61.8%) were among the best teams in the nation against the spread this season. UConn is a 3.5-point favorite against Arkansas (18-16 ATS) and UCLA is a two-point favorite against Gonzaga (13-20 ATS), so I have no issue taking both favorites on the moneyline here instead. Meanwhile, the under has hit in 61.8% of Tennessee's games overall this season (13-21 O/U), including both of its tournament games so far. The Vols are also 11-19 O/U as favorites and 5-10 O/U in non-conference games, so I like another low-scoring affair here to top off this parlay.

You can adjust the legs to your liking, but Caesars had the best price on this version at the time of this writing at +431. Caesars has also been running a parlay boost promo during the tournament, so you might even be able to boost this for more value. Depending on what other promos are available Thursday, you might also be able to get a stepped-up boost at DraftKings (20%) or use this for FanDuel's parlay insurance promo.

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Dan Karpuc: UConn ML & Michigan State ML (+180, Bet365)

I expect UConn to beat Arkansas and Michigan State to take down Kansas State to earn Elite 8 appearances. UConn’s depth should be too much for Arkansas to deal with and I’ve been very impressed with Dan Hurley’s in-game coaching adjustments so far in the tournament. Think I’m fading Tom Izzo and Michigan State in March? Think again. Kansas State ranks 40th in Adjusted Tempo, per KenPom, so they like to play fast. Izzo will likely gameplan around that and look to establish a slower pace that will require his opponents to operate in the half court offensively. The Spartans rank 302nd in Adjusted Tempo this year, so they’re much more comfortable slowing things down. I expect MSU to take KSU out of their comfort zone and capitalize en route to the Elite 8.

At the time of this writing, Bet365 had the best price on this parlay, along with an awesome welcome offer below that you could use to bet this for FREE!

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: Tennessee ML & UCLA ML (+152, FanDuel) 

Tennessee might just be the most physical team left in the tournament, and that’s saying something given that UConn is still in the field. The Vols pushed a very good Duke team around on Saturday and they did it without their best player, Zakai Zeigler. Tennessee will have its hands full trying to slow down one of the smallest, but quickest teams in the country in FAU, yet I’m confident they can do that.

Meanwhile, UCLA is going to want to get revenge over Gonzaga after they lost to the Zags in the 2021 Final Four. For those that might not remember, Jalen Suggs hit a half-court shot at the buzzer in overtime to send Gonzaga to the national championship. With a number of players from that game still on this year’s UCLA team, the Bruins surely haven’t forgotten that moment. 

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: Gonzaga ML & UConn ML (+241, Bet365)

I have both Gonzaga and UConn moving on to the Elite Eight to play each other in my bracket, so I see excellent value in parlaying these moneylines here for some extra value. UConn just took down St. Mary’s, 70-55, and Gonzaga edged out TCU, 84-81. And with Gonzaga as slight underdogs, there is some great value in combining these two to both win. 

At the time of this writing, Bet365 had the best price on this parlay, along with an awesome welcome offer below that you could use to bet this for FREE!

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: Michigan State ML & Tennessee ML (+151, Caesars)

Kansas State was outplayed by Kentucky, but a few lucky 3-pointers from a poor shooter in Markquis Nowell (34% 3P FG) made for an improbable win. Kentucky dominated them on the boards, out-rebounding K-State by 20, while also destroying them in second-chance points by 14. If Antonio Reeves, UK’s best deep shooter, hadn’t gone 1-for-15 from the field, it’s an easy Kentucky win. That’s why No. 7 Michigan State is a favorite over the No. 3 Wildcats. Tennessee is not a team I like to back, but the defense should be enough to end FAU’s run here in the Sweet 16. The Vols got a really fortunate draw in this tourney.

At the time of this writing, Caesars had the best price on this parlay, along with an awesome welcome offer below that you could use to bet this for FREE!

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Understanding Parlay Picks For March Madness

If you are new to betting, you may not know what a parlay is or how to place one. You have come to the right place, and we will have you making money in no time, and understanding what you are placing your hard-earned money on. A parlay is a bet that combines two or more bets together to give you a better payout, but is riskier, as all the bets in it have to hit.

Example: Purdue and Penn State are both 5-star bets on BetQL to win their games. You decide to parlay their moneylines together to get a better payout, which means they both must win their games for you to win the bet. Purdue comes out with a 76-71 win, while Penn State pulls off an upset to grab a W. Both teams won outright, so you win your bet! You can parlay any two bets together from different games, so find what is most valuable and combine them.

We are going to crush this NCAA Tournament, and March Madness will go by in a flash, so get in now and stay in the green.